SIP vs Market Timers – Who Wins the Consistent Compounding Race?
Over the past 25 months, investors who waited for a market correction before deploying top-ups from their recurring income into Marcellus’ CCP PMS would have experienced a significant drag (of at least 3-5% on annualized returns, if not more) vs SIP based investments. This is due to a combination of three factors: a) low correlation […]
The Maths, Science and Art of Investing in Equities
Equity investing can be a complex business. The variables at play are numerous – not just the macro and micro variables relevant to a stock, but also the psychological factors facing an investor. Maths, Science and Art are subjects that have improved our ability to understand the complexities of the world around us. Whilst decisions […]
Rewards of waiting for a ‘lower purchase price’ in CCP vs others
Share price performance of the Nifty50 and Marcellus’ CCP portfolio constituents over the past two decades shows that the benefits of waiting for lower purchase prices fade away meaningfully as the quality of the portfolio’s fundamentals improves. Investors who make periodic investments in companies with weak fundamentals benefit substantially from timing the purchase prices – […]
The Role of Technology in Consistent Compounding
It is widely believed that new technology leads to disruptive innovation. However, companies that have consistently innovated over longer periods of time have combined existing technologies using a recipe that is heavy on intangibles and difficult to replicate. It is this recipe which enables consistent compounding over long periods of time despite several disruptions in […]
The Criticality of Succession Planning in Consistent Compounding
All businesses face the event of succession of key management personnel, whether it be promoters or professionals. However, succession planning is a process that is not adequately engrained in the DNA of most organizations due to the variety of challenges involved in this process. As a result, many great businesses with strong competitive advantages fail […]
Importance of Lethargy Tests in Consistent Compounding
Consistent compounding requires focus and discipline over long periods of time. However, just like assembly line workers in a manufacturing process may find themselves bored by the repetitive nature of their work; consistent compounders also run the risk of boredom / fatigue / complacency in the long run. This can then lead to mistakes cause […]
Mean Reversion: Universal Truth or Human Delusion?
The concept of ‘mean reversion’ is part of both, our everyday life as well as investing. However, inadequate understanding of the ‘mean’ leads to several mistakes in the application of this concept. When it comes to equities, over the long run share prices revert to their fundamentals and hence, clarity of thought around fundamental strengths […]
CCPs avoid price hikes to strengthen pricing power
Most firms hike product prices to offset the impact of inflation in raw material costs and operating expenses. However, several firms in Marcellus’ CCP Portfolio – e.g. Asian Paints, Relaxo Footwears, Abbott India, Dr. Lal Pathlabs – have historically avoided hiking product prices meaningfully. These companies focus on deriving incremental operating efficiencies, thereby negating the […]
Enduring Greatness in a Disrupted World
The frequency of disruptions faced by businesses has been rising over the past three decades. While most of these disruptions have been around technology, an event like Covid-19 will also be added to this list. While such events can potentially topple market leaders, Consistent Compounders use these events to disrupt their competitors. Key characteristics which […]
Consistent Compounders fall less and recover sooner and sharper
In FY20, Marcellus’ CCP PMS has delivered healthy absolute returns (+7.6% vs -25.0% for Nifty50 Total Return Index) alongside resilience during the recent stock market correction (since 1st Jan 2020: -12.9% for Marcellus CCP vs -29.1% for Nifty50 TRI). Beyond the period of business disruption from the ongoing lockdown, fundamentals of Marcellus’ CCP companies are […]
CCP’s performance in FY20 fully supported by earnings growth
The performance of Marcellus’ CCP portfolio over the past 12 months has been fully supported by fundamentals. The CCP stocks have seen more than 30% YoY growth in profits during 3QFY20 and 9MFY20 vs 28% portfolio performance since 1st April 2019. In fact, CCP stocks have seen more than 20% annualized growth in profits over […]
Prudent Capital Allocation is Critical for Consistent Compounding
The most sustainable way for a firm to compound profits over the longer term, is to sustain high ROCE alongside a high rate of capital reinvestment. However, such businesses face the challenge of consistently finding avenues for incremental capital redeployment in areas which deliver high ROCE. Some of the most common capital allocation mistakes made […]
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