Marcellus’ Portfolio Updates & Insights – October 2025
marcellus.in From Our CIO’s Desk India’s 5-layered Consumer Stimulus; More Needed After a five-year flirtation with boosting public capex, the Government of India is now focusing on the main engine of India’s economic growth: Consumption. The last 6 months have seen the announcement of a 5-layered boost for domestic consumption including the keenly awaited GST […]
Marcellus Portfolio Snapshot – September 2025
marcellus.in From Our CIO’s Desk White Collar Jobs Growth & Wage Growth: Twin Drivers of India’s Slowdown From Diwali 2023 onwards, Indian companies’ earnings growth has decelerated at a rapid rate. Underpinning this deceleration is a sharp conk-off in consumption growth, long the mainstay of the Indian economy. Key drivers of this consumption downturn […]
Little Champs: Rising Again on its Sixth Anniversary
After enjoying a splendid run in the first three years of its inception, Little Champs portfolio’s (LCP) returns and earnings growth deteriorated from September 2022 – March 2024. On LCP’s 6th anniversary we focus on what went wrong during this period, the lessons learnt and the course correction we undertook around 18 months ago. The steady […]
MeritorQ: Low-Risk Investing with Sound Fundamentals
In this newsletter, we discuss the so called “low-risk” anomaly which posits that high beta (or high risk) stocks underperform low beta or (low risk stocks) over the long term i.e. there is NO extra return to be earned from owning riskier stocks. We show that this low-risk anomaly works in India as well. In this context, […]
Indian Banks Don’t Need More Regulation, They Need More Leverage
Indian banks are often criticized for maintaining higher net interest margins (NIMs) compared to their global peers. However, despite higher NIMs, Indian banks’ average RoE of 6.9% over the past decade lags the average RoE of G7 countries’ banks of 9.2%. More importantly, Indian banks have one of the lowest excess return (RoE less 10-year […]
Portfolio performance and update on fundamentals – June 2025
Global Compounders Portfolio (GCP): June was a constructive month for the portfolio and the broader index. However, the portfolio underperformed the index by approximately 190 bps, as markets were led higher by a sharp rebound in a handful of large-cap semiconductor names—despite elevated valuations. In contrast, our more defensive holdings, including Waste Connections, Berkshire Hathaway, […]
Global Compounders: Greatness and Value Capture
Marcellus’ Global Compounders Portfolio (GCP) strategically invests in 25-35 deeply moated global companies aligned with megatrends which aid the delivery of mid-to-high teens compounding of free cash flow/earnings. To identify such compounders, one of the markers that we look for is the amount of value companies are able to capture from broader opportunities. This is […]
Earnings Growth in India: Sliding Nifty vs Rising CCP
Nifty50’s EPS growth moderated to 6% YOY in FY25 (from 24% CAGR over FY21-24) whilst valuations remain elevated (21x FY26 P/E for Nifty50). In stark contrast, Marcellus’ CCP portfolio’s earnings growth rate has been in the range of 17%-18% CAGR until FY24 and held firm at 14% YoY in FY25. Amidst a growing earnings growth […]
Portfolio performance and update on Fundamentals – May 2025
The NIFTY 50 is an Indian stock market index that represents the float-weighted average of 50 of the largest Indian companies listed on the National Stock Exchange. The BSE 500 index is designed to be a broad representation of the Indian market. Consisting of the top 500 companies listed at BSE Ltd., the index covers […]
MeritorQ: Quality Matters
Investing in a portfolio of value and cyclical stocks in India would have delivered comparable returns to portfolio of quality & consistently profitable companies respectively over longer term with value and cyclicals outperforming in the post-Covid period. However, an advantage of the quality style lies in its ability to delivers less volatile fundamental growth and […]
Marcellus India Wealth Survey 2025 Indian Affluents & HNIs – So Near, Yet So Far….
India’s wealthy aspire to retire early, start businesses, and fund children’s futures, but lack the roadmap to get there. Marcellus, in collaboration with Dun & Bradstreet, conducted the ‘India Wealth Survey 2025’—an in-depth study capturing the evolving financial behaviours, asset preferences, aspirations, and preparedness of affluent and high-net-worth individuals (HNIs) across India. The survey was […]
Portfolio performance and update on fundamentals
The NIFTY 50 is an Indian stock market index that represents the float-weighted average of 50 of the largest Indian companies listed on the National Stock Exchange. The BSE 500 index is designed to be a broad representation of the Indian market. Consisting of the top 500 companies listed at BSE Ltd., the index covers […]
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