Consistent Compounders

‘Winner Takes All’ in India’s New, Improved Economy.

Capitalising on the exponential surge in digital transactions and the massive improvements in transport infrastructure and market structure seen over the past decade, a handful of Indian companies – no more than 20 – are taking home ~80% of the profits generated by the Indian economy. Simultaneously, a mere 20 companies account for 80% of […]

Dec 24 . 22 MIN READ
Consistent Compounders

Avoiding Non-linear Risks Tends to be Rewarding

When the economic climate is benign, the share prices of financial services companies do not adequately capture the risks of aggressive lending and governance practices. The true intrinsic value of such companies becomes apparent only when such risk actually play out. History shows that when the risk plays out, the market cap of such companies […]

Dec 23 . 8 MIN READ
Consistent Compounders

R-R-R-Rising Giants

For the four quarters ending 2QFY23, the Rising Giants portfolio witnessed median revenue growth of  23% and EBITDA growth of 14%. Some portfolio companies faced headwinds around Covid-19 related  revenues tapering off and higher input prices. However, as is the norm in stockmarkets, the -16.44% price  correction in the portfolio (since inception) is extrapolating these […]

Dec 19 . 9 MIN READ
Consistent Compounders

Twenty Years of Jimmy Anderson: From frustrated tips to statistical marvel

At Marcellus, we look to assess the greatness of companies using our ‘Longevity framework’ as it is not just strong performances but performances of the highest levels of quality that endure for long periods of time that underpin greatness. For those of us who thought there can’t be a greater fast bowler than Wasim Akram, […]

Dec 18 . 3 MIN READ
Consistent Compounders

What fusion’s breakthrough means for clean energy

Nuclear fusion as a source of clean energy has become the last hope for climate change. The 3L&3S has been following developments in the area closely – see here and here.  Indeed, this week was a time for celebrating mankind’s progress towards achieving it. American scientists achieved a net gain in their fusion reaction i.e, more energy was […]

Dec 18 . 3 MIN READ
Consistent Compounders

Book review – ‘Making Numbers Count’ Review: As Easy as 1, 2, 3

If like us, you too make a living by thinking about numbers, contextualising them and then explaining them to others then you should consider reading this book ‘Making Numbers Count: The Art and Science of Communicating Numbers’ by Chip Heath & Karla Starr. The book explains that there is a right way and a wrong […]

Dec 18 . 2 MIN READ
Consistent Compounders

Memo from Howard Marks: Sea Change

Whilst the markets celebrated the last two US inflation prints in anticipation of a pause in rate hikes or even a more accommodative monetary policy, earlier this week, the Fed took another 50bps hike (though less than 75bps of the previous instances) and remarked that it will continue to ‘squeeze the economy in 2023’. As […]

Dec 18 . 3 MIN READ
Consistent Compounders

Why everyone should pay more attention to India

Shruti Rajagopalan is an Economist at George Mason University in Fairfax, Virginia. Two weeks ago she published a blog which the whole world seems to have read. In case you haven’t, our recommendation is that you read it not least because the blog presents India’s key numbers relating to its economy, its demographics, its tech […]

Dec 18 . 5 MIN READ
Consistent Compounders

The secret lives of MI6’s top female spies

Contrary to what middle-aged men might think after a lifetime of watching James Bond and Mission Impossible movies, in the real world women, not men, make the best spies. This long read in the FT from a former MI6 (also called Special Intelligence Service or SIS) explains why this is so [hint: it has nothing […]

Dec 18 . 4 MIN READ
Consistent Compounders

Why Finance is Hard to Decentralize

Over the past two months, the Indian central bank, the RBI conducted pilots around the digital Rupee or India’s CBDC (Central Bank issues Digital Currency) across both wholesale and retail market transactions. These have in-turn triggered debate around whether this can disintermediate the banking system. Whilst theoretically possible, the fact that the RBI chose banks […]

Dec 11 . 3 MIN READ
Consistent Compounders

Has private equity avoided the asset-price crash?

The Economist follows up on a theme we have featured twice in 3L&3S this year (see here and here) – how unlike public equities which have been marked down by the market this year, private assets have been stable or atleast based on one report seem to have appreciated this year. “A huge gap between the valuations of […]

Dec 11 . 3 MIN READ
Consistent Compounders

Enough longtermism — we need to think about now

Over the past twelve months, Stuart Kirk – former editor of the FT’s famous Lex column and former head of responsible investment at HSBC Asset Management – have become famous for calling out what he says is a racket in which vested interests are riding the ESG investing bandwagon and lining their pockets. In this […]

Dec 11 . 3 MIN READ

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